Political Science Prof. predicts Trump has 97% chance to win the elections

  KenBricks
  1 year ago
  512
Political Science Prof. predicts Trump has 97% chance to win the elections Image

Political Science Prof. predicts Trump has 97% chance to win the elections



This Saturday on Fox & Friends, host Tucker Carlson talked to a college professor that has correctly predicted the winners of the last five presidential elections.


Professor Helmut Norpoth from Stony Brook University in New York believes that this year Donald Trump will win the election.

Professor Norpoth's predictions are  based on two "models":
The "primary" model is where he compares the candidate strength in their respective primaries.



"The candidate who does better in his party's primary beats the other guy who does less well," said Norpoth.

Comparing the South Carolina's and New Hampshire primaries, he predicts that Donald Trump will be the general election favorite.

The second model is called the "swing of the pendulum". 
Watch this video and find out his thoughts about the elections and their outcomes.




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